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Kevin J. Aagaard
Kevin J. Aagaard

​​​​​​Spatial Ecologist

Kevin J. Aagaard 

​Contact Info



Ph.D., Ecology and Evolution — Rutgers University, 2014

B.S., Biology — SUNY Geneseo, 2009

Current or Recent Positions

Spatial Ecologist — Colorado Parks and Wildlife, September 2017 – present

Postdoctoral Research Biologist — U.S. Geological Survey, October 2014 – August 2017  

​Current or Recent Research Projects

  • ​Raptor nesting distribution models

  • State biologist studies including waterbirds and gamebirds, ungulates, and predators

  • Migratory waterfowl dynamics in a changing climate

  • Trends in population dynamics of non-native species

Areas of Interest, Expertise

​In my research I leverage the tools of statistical and mathematical models to describe complex ecosystem-level processes in highly variable systems such as animal movements (dispersal and migration), population dynamics, and biological invasions.


Aagaard, K, JE Lyons, and WE Thogmartin. 2017. Quantifying the relative contribution of an ecological reserve to conservation objectives. Global Ecology and Conservation. 9, 142-147.

Avery, JD, K Aagaard, JC Burkhalter, and OJ Robinson. 2017. Seabird longline bycatch reduction devices increase target catch while reducing bycatch: A meta-analysis. Journal for Nature Conservation. 38, 37-45.

Aagaard, K, JL Lockwood, and EJ Green. 2016. A Bayesian approach for characterizing uncertainty in declaring a population collapse. Ecological Modelling. 328, 78-84. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.02.014.

Aagaard, K, and JL Lockwood. 2016. The occurrence of population collapses in exotic birds. Biological Invasions. 18, 1667-1678. DOI: 10.1007/s10530-016-1109-2.

Lonsdorf, EV, WE Thogmartin, S Jacobi, K Aagaard, J Coppen, A Davis, T Fox, P Heglund, R Johnson, T Jones, K Kenow, JE Lyons, K Luke, S Still, and B Tavernia. 2016. A generalizable energetics-based model of avian migration to facilitate continental-scale waterbird conservation. Ecological Applications. 26, 1136-1153.

Aagaard, K, SM Crimmins, WE Thogmartin, B Tavernia, and JE Lyons. 2015. Evaluating predictors of local dabbling duck abundance during migration: managing the spectrum of conditions faced by migrants. Wildfowl. 65, 100-120.

Aagaard, K, and JL Lockwood. 2014. Exotic birds show lags in population growth. Diversity and Distributions. 20, 547-554.

Aagaard, K, and G Hartvigsen. 2014. Fractal dimension metrics across a vegetational chronosequence. Applied Mathematics. 5, 1842-1851.