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Kevin J. Aagaard
Kevin J. Aagaard

​​​​​​Spatial Ecologist

Kevin J. Aagaard 

Contact Info


Ph.D., Ecology and Evolution — Rutgers University, 2014

B.S., Biology — SUNY Geneseo, 2009

Current or Recent Positions

Spatial Ecologist — Colorado Parks and Wildlife, September 2017 – present

Postdoctoral Research Biologist — U.S. Geological Survey, October 2014 – August 2017  

Current or Recent Research Projects

  • Raptor nesting distribution models
  • Ungulate movement patterns
  • Bat habitat selection models
  • Black Swift nesting phenology and sexual dimorphism
  • Gunnison Sage Grouse habitat suitability model
  • Migratory waterfowl dynamics in a changing climate

Areas of Interest, Expertise

In my research I leverage the tools of statistical and mathematical models to describe complex ecosystem-level processes in highly variable systems such as animal movement patterns (dispersal and migration), habitat selection, species distribution, population dynamics, and biological invasions.


Brown, JA, JL Lockwood, JD Avery, JC Burkhalter, K Aagaard, and KH Fenn. 2019. Evaluating the long-term effectiveness of terrestrial protected areas: a 40-year look at forest bird diversity. Biodiversity and Conservation 28:811-826.

Aagaard, K, JE Lyons, and WE Thogmartin. 2018. Accounting for surveyor effort in large-scale monitoring programs. Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management 9:e1944-687x.

Gunn, C, KM Potter, JP Beason, and K Aagaard. 2018. Sexually dimorphic plumage characteristics in the northern black swift. Western Birds 49:214-225.

Aagaard, K, WE Thogmartin, and EV Lonsdorf. 2018. Temperature-influenced energetics model for migrating waterfowl. Ecological Modelling 348:46-58.

Aagaard, K, J Eash, W Ford, PJ Heglund, M McDowell, and WE Thogmartin. 2018. Modeling the relationship between water level, wild rice abundance, and waterfowl abundance at a central North American wetland. Wetlands 39:149-160.

Custer, TW, CM Custer, PM Dummer, CW Matson, E Bigorgne, E Oziolor, N Karouna-Renier, S Schultz, RA Erickson, and K Aagaard. 2017. EROD activity, chromosomal damage, and oxidative stress in response to contaminant exposure to tree swallows (Tachycineta bicolor) nesting in the Great Lake Areas of Concern. Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry 26:1392-1407.

Aagaard, K, JE Lyons, and WE Thogmartin. 2017. Quantifying the relative contribution of an ecological reserve to conservation objectives. Global Ecology and Conservation. 9, 142-147.

Avery, JD, K Aagaard, JC Burkhalter, and OJ Robinson. 2017. Seabird longline bycatch reduction devices increase target catch while reducing bycatch: A meta-analysis. Journal for Nature Conservation. 38, 37-45.

Aagaard, K, JL Lockwood, and EJ Green. 2016. A Bayesian approach for characterizing uncertainty in declaring a population collapse. Ecological Modelling. 328, 78-84. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.02.014.

Aagaard, K, and JL Lockwood. 2016. The occurrence of population collapses in exotic birds. Biological Invasions. 18, 1667-1678. DOI: 10.1007/s10530-016-1109-2.

Lonsdorf, EV, WE Thogmartin, S Jacobi, K Aagaard, J Coppen, A Davis, T Fox, P Heglund, R Johnson, T Jones, K Kenow, JE Lyons, K Luke, S Still, and B Tavernia. 2016. A generalizable energetics-based model of avian migration to facilitate continental-scale waterbird conservation. Ecological Applications. 26, 1136-1153.

Aagaard, K, SM Crimmins, WE Thogmartin, B Tavernia, and JE Lyons. 2015. Evaluating predictors of local dabbling duck abundance during migration: managing the spectrum of conditions faced by migrants. Wildfowl. 65, 100-120.

Aagaard, K, and JL Lockwood. 2014. Exotic birds show lags in population growth. Diversity and Distributions. 20, 547-554.